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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Chook Music of the Day
Variegated Tinamou, El Palmar; Río Grande, Bolívar, Venezuela. Male/Feminine duet with whistled imitation by human.
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Politics
“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in truth a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
The Constitutional Order
“NY lawmakers ask state Board of Elections besides Trump from 2024 poll” [New York Daily News]. “In a letter to the state Board of Elections shared solely with the Every day Information, New York Senators Brad Hoylman-Sigal, Liz Krueger, and others cited Trump’s alleged efforts to overthrow democracy in violation of the Structure’s ‘Insurrectionist Disqualification Clause‘ in outlining why he shouldn’t be featured on the poll. The hassle mirrors one already underway in a intently watched case earlier than Colorado’s Supreme Courtroom…. Asking BOE co-chairs Peter Kosinski and Douglas Kellner to satisfy their ‘weighty duty’ and exclude the present Republican front-runner as they might a candidate who’s underage or isn’t a natural-born citizen, the senators mentioned his position within the lethal storming of the nation’s capital renders him ineligible to carry public workplace till he’s relieved of the disqualification by two-thirds of each chambers of Congress…. A spokesperson for the BOE, which determines candidates’ eligibility, didn’t instantly reply to a request in search of remark.”
“Oregon Voters File Lawsuit to Bar Donald Trump From Poll” [Yuba.net]. “Free Speech For Individuals (FSFP), together with Oregon co-counsel Jason Kafoury of Kafoury & McDougal and Daniel Meek, filed a lawsuit at this time within the Oregon Supreme Courtroom on behalf of particular person Oregon voters difficult Donald Trump’s candidacy. The lawsuit follows a letter despatched to Secretary of State of Oregon, LaVonne Griffin-Valade, urging her to situation a brief rule (and subsequent declaratory ruling) that Mr. Trump, in keeping with Part 3 of the Fourteenth Modification, is constitutionally ineligible to seem on any Oregon future poll for nomination of election to federal workplace. ”
2024
Lower than a 12 months to go!
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“Donald Trump returns to court docket, lauds his protection knowledgeable who sees no proof of accounting fraud” [Chicago Tribune]. “[New York University accounting professor Eli Bartov] testified that monetary statements are simply beginning factors for lenders, and that the paperwork’ worth estimates are inherently subjective opinions. Variations in such opinions don’t imply that there’s fraud, the professor mentioned. He referred to as Trump’s monetary statements clear and uncommonly detailed, with caveats that Bartov claimed ‘even my 9-year-old granddaughter’ would perceive. So did main Trump lender Deutsche Financial institution, Bartov maintained. Deutsche Financial institution executives have testified that, whereas anticipating shoppers to offer broadly correct data, they usually modify the numbers. Inner financial institution paperwork pegged Trump’s web value considerably decrease than his monetary statements did. But when the financial institution adjusted the figures that Trump reported, ‘what if the reported values are incorrect?’ the choose requested Bartov. He responded that the bankers didn’t essentially work from Trump’s unique numbers. ‘So then why get them within the first place?’ Engoron requested. Noting that the figures got here with pages of notes, Bartov mentioned the bundle ‘allowed them to compute the numbers on their very own.’” • Nonetheless reeling from the revelation that New Yorker Engoron believes there’s such a factor as a “right” quantity in New York actual property. Is he a bit little one?
“Trump appeals ruling rejecting immunity declare as window narrows to derail federal election case” [Associated Press]. “Legal professionals for the 2024 Republican presidential major frontrunner filed a discover of attraction Thursday indicating that they may problem U.S. District Choose Tanya Chutkan’s choice rejecting Trump’s bid to dismiss the case headed to trial in Washington, D.C., in March…. The attraction had been anticipated provided that Trump’s legal professionals had earlier signaled their plans to pursue all the best way to the Supreme Courtroom, if obligatory, what they are saying is a legally untested query of a former president’s immunity from prosecution. It’s a part of a broader technique by him and his legal professionals to attempt to postpone the prison circumstances towards him till after subsequent 12 months’s presidential election, averting trials that would unfold within the warmth of the presidential marketing campaign. The appeals court docket is anticipated to schedule dates for written briefs and oral arguments, although it’s not clear when these can be. The argument that Trump is immune from prosecution for actions taken inside his position as president has for months been seen as maybe essentially the most weighty and legally consequential objection to the case made by the Trump legal professionals forward of trial. No former president has ever been prosecuted earlier than, an absence of historic precedent Trump’s group has seized on in making an attempt to get the indictment tossed out.”
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“Biden’s marketing campaign won’t commit but to collaborating typically election debates in 2024” [Associated Press]. Provide chain issues with the juice? ” President Joe Biden’s marketing campaign shouldn’t be but committing to common election debates subsequent 12 months, the most recent signal {that a} staple of recent White Home campaigns is probably not in play in 2024…. Trump has skipped all GOP major debates, together with Wednesday’s gathering on the College of Alabama, citing his broad lead over his Republican rivals as justification. But he has mentioned a common election marketing campaign can be totally different. ‘We have now to debate,’ he informed Fox Information host Bret Baier in a June interview. ‘He and I’ve to undoubtedly debate. That’s what I like. The 2 of us should debate.’…. The [the nonpartisan Commission on Presidential Debates] schedule calls for 3 presidential debates and one vice presidential debate subsequent fall.” • I hate the entire system of Presidential debates and assume we must always give all of it again to the League of Girls Voters. That mentioned, if Biden received’t — and by received’t, I imply can’t — debate, he may as properly simply throw within the towel proper there.
“Biden says he’s not the one Democrat who might beat Trump” [New York Times]. “Biden’s reelection marketing campaign attraction to his fellow get together members has been predicated on the argument that he’s the Democrat greatest outfitted to maintain his impeached and indicted predecessor out of the Oval Workplace. However the president was requested Wednesday whether or not he believed every other Democrats might prevail over Trump… ‘In all probability 50 of them, Biden mentioned. ‘I’m not the one one who might defeat him. However I’ll defeat him.”” • I don’t assume 50. Anyhow, in the event you can’t give a very good motive why you and no one else, why are you operating?
“Trump takes heart stage at Biden fundraisers” [The Hill]. “Biden, who early in his presidency would tip-toe round referencing his predecessor by title, has now made Trump central to his pitch to donors…. Biden talked about Trump’s title 28 occasions at a Denver fundraiser final week, in keeping with a White Home transcript, and roughly a dozen occasions at every of his three fundraisers in Massachusetts this week… He has zeroed in on the risk Trump poses to democracy, constructing on a core theme of the 2020 marketing campaign and the 2022 midterms. Biden has referred to as Trump an ‘election denier in chief’ who’s ‘decided to destroy American democracy.’” • However the canine aren’t consuming the pet food; see Teixiera under.
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“Home Republicans to maneuver ahead on formalizing Biden impeachment inquiry subsequent week” [ABC]. “The Home Guidelines Committee introduced Thursday it’s going to take into account a decision subsequent week to formalize Republicans’ ongoing impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden, and the White Home referred to as the transfer a “baseless stunt.”… Even average GOP impeachment skeptics who characterize districts that Biden received in 2020 are coming round in help of the decision. Home Speaker Mike Johnson beforehand informed reporters he believed Republicans would have the mandatory help for the decision to go…. Rep. Don Bacon, who had beforehand mentioned he wouldn’t vote to help the impeachment inquiry decision, has additionally modified his thoughts… ‘We have now to vote for an inquiry to get the knowledge that’s being subpoenaed,’ Bacon, R-Neb., mentioned…. ‘Even the Republican legal professionals within the convention doesn’t assume we’ve met the [threshold] for prime crimes and misdemeanors. We’re not impeaching his son, proper?’ Bacon mentioned. ‘However there may be data that the 2 committees, particularly, need and the president shouldn’t be handing it over, and it’s vital. And in order that’s why we’re having an inquiry.’” • If the decimal level in $1380 could possibly be moved a few locations to the correct….
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“Nimarata the Piñata” [The American Conservative]. “‘International coverage expertise shouldn’t be the identical as international coverage knowledge,’ Ramaswamy interjected. ‘I believe these with international coverage expertise, one factor that Joe Biden and Nikki Haley have in frequent, is that neither of them might even state for you three provinces in japanese Ukraine that they wish to ship our troops to really combat for.’ The digital camera panned to Haley. Her chin was tilted down, her eyes locked on a 1,000 yard stare…. ‘Take a look at that,’ Ramaswamy mentioned. ‘That is what I need individuals to know.… She has no concept what the hell the names of these provinces are, however she needs to ship our little kids and our troops and our navy gear to go combat it. So reject this fable that they’ve been promoting you that anyone had a cup of espresso stint on the U.N. after which makes 8 million bucks after has actual international coverage expertise.’ … For 4 minutes and 5 seconds, Haley couldn’t title three provinces in japanese Ukraine America’s little kids can be pressured to defend. Finally, she mentioned ‘Donetsk, Luhansk, and Crimea.’ That’s the flawed reply. The best reply can be Donetsk, Luhansk, and Zaporizhzhia. The one situation during which Crimea is a part of the reply is in the event you fantasize main the U.S. into WWIII.” • Effectively, it’s a gotcha. It’s entertaining to look at Ramaswamy, who’s clearly Give Zero [Family Blog]s mode.
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“Utah loosens poll entry guidelines after RFK Jr. sues” [Deseret News]. “Utah prolonged its deadline for unaffiliated presidential candidates to get on the state’s poll, Lt. Gov. Deidre Henderson introduced Thursday. The choice got here after Robert F. Kennedy Jr., an unbiased presidential candidate, filed a lawsuit towards Henderson. The lawsuit claimed Utah’s deadline for candidates to file for poll entry in Utah — Jan. 8, 2024 — was ‘clearly unconstitutional’ and ‘the earliest deadline on unbiased presidential candidates within the historical past of america.’ Henderson introduced Thursday that candidates can be permitted to file by March 5, 2024, almost two months after the unique deadline.”
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“The Democratic Coalition Is Falling Aside” [Ruy Teixeira, The Liberal Patriot]. “Let’s face it: the Democratic coalition is in poor form. It’s springing leaks in every single place—younger voters, Hispanic voters, black voters, ladies voters, working-class voters, average and unbiased voters. …. Two current knowledge releases doc this ongoing decay of the Democratic coalition. First, trying on the nationwide image, Adam Carlson on the wonderful Break up Ticket knowledge analytics web site, has produced a compilation of cross-tabular knowledge that permits us to match common present Democratic efficiency with Democratic efficiency from 2020 to estimate shifts in desire since that election by key group. The second knowledge supply is a serious survey of battleground states and districts by Democracy Corps/PSG/Greenberg Analysis (DCorps) that gives some wealthy demographic breakdowns of vote desire and opinion the place the 2024 election will nearly definitely be determined…. It little doubt appears odd to Democrats that voters within the heart—independents and moderates—aren’t flocking to their banners as a result of absolutely all of them know and imagine that chaos agent Trump and his anti-democratic Republican Social gathering characterize every thing that’s excessive and super-partisan in American politics. However right here’s the issue: these voters don’t essentially see Trump and the Republicans as clearly being the worst in these areas. Within the DCorps ballot, battleground voters want Trump and the Republicans over Biden and the Democrats on ‘opposing extremism’ (by 3 factors), ‘getting past the chaos’ (by 6 factors), ‘standing as much as elites’ (by 8 factors), ‘defending the U.S. Structure’ (by 8 factors), and ‘placing nation over get together’ (by 8 factors). These voters see the events as tied on “democracy being safe”and provides Biden and the Democrats negligible leads of two factors on ‘presidents not with the ability to act as autocrats’, and one level on ‘defending democracy’. So whereas partisan Democrats might imagine these points should not even shut when evaluating Biden and the Democrats to Trump and his ‘semi-fascist‘ Republican Social gathering, there are clearly large numbers of much less partisan voters who disagree…. One thing’s clearly not working right here for the Democrats. Regardless of turning it as much as 11 on the risk posed by Trump to democracy all through Biden’s presidency, and now maybe to 12 because the chance of a Biden-Trump rematch looms ever bigger, actually-existing voters don’t appear to be stampeding of their route. The massive lead that Democrats really feel ought to be naturally theirs shouldn’t be showing.” • I detest Teixeira, however he’s received this proper. Additionally on Greenberg–
“‘This Is Grim,’ One Democratic Pollster Says” [New York Times] “The predictive energy of horse-race polling a 12 months from the presidential election is weak at greatest. The Biden marketing campaign can take some consolation in that. However what current surveys do reveal is that the coalition that put Joe Biden within the White Home within the first place is nowhere close to as robust because it was 4 years in the past. These hazard indicators embody fraying help amongst core constituencies, together with younger voters, Black voters and Hispanic voters, and the decline, if not the erasure, of conventional Democratic benefits in representing the pursuits of the center class and talking for the typical voter…. In an e mail, Greenberg summarized the outcomes: ‘That is grim.’ The examine, he mentioned, discovered that collectively, voters within the Democratic base of ‘Blacks, Hispanics, Asians, L.G.B.T.Q.+ group, Gen Z, millennials, single and school ladies give Trump greater approval scores than Biden.’” And: “Biden and the Democrats led on six: ladies’s rights (forward by 17 proportion factors), local weather change (15 factors), addressing racial inequality (10 factors), well being care (three factors), the president won’t be an autocrat (two factors) and defending democracy (one level). There was a tie on making democracy safer. Donald Trump and the Republicans held leads on the remaining topics, together with being for working individuals (a seven-point benefit), standing as much as elites (eight factors), with the ability to get issues performed for the American individuals (12 factors), feeling protected (12 factors) and maintaining wages and salaries up with the price of dwelling (17 factors).” • Humorous how Covid isn’t even a difficulty, however that’s the place we’re.
“Younger voters could also be disenchanted with Biden, however they nonetheless oppose Trump, ballot finds” [Los Angeles Times]. “[I]t’s Republicans and independents, not Democrats, who’re almost definitely to specific doubts about voting, in keeping with the most recent biannual ballot of younger individuals carried out by Harvard’s Institute of Politics. These disenchanted unbiased voters embody massive shares of Black and Latino younger individuals, particularly males, the ballot discovered….. [W]hile many younger Individuals are disenchanted with Biden, there’s no signal of motion towards former President Trump. As a substitute, unbiased candidates, together with Robert F. Kennedy Jr., appeal to unusually excessive ranges of help.”
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IL: “Pritzker tells Chicago to fold its tents — governor rejects poisonous migrant shelter web site in Brighton Park” [Chicago Sun-Times]. “Citing ‘critical environmental considerations,’ Gov. J.B. Pritzker mentioned Tuesday that the state is ending improvement of a proposed migrant camp in Brighton Park. The choice follows the town of Chicago’s launch of an environmental report Friday evening that confirmed the situation at thirty eighth Road and California Avenue required cleanup of heavy metals and poisonous chemical compounds. The state halted development Sunday.”
IL: “Matthew Pritzker, billionaire cousin of Illinois governor is dumped from glitzy L.A. Biden fundraiser because the Dem mega-donor prepares to seem in New York court docket to face intercourse assault fees” [Daily Mail]. “Matthew Pritzker, the Hyatt scion accused of sexual assault, has been dropped from a glitzy fundraising shindig for Joe Biden’s presidential marketing campaign. The 41-year-old billionaire was considered one of dozens of rich Biden supporters who paid $100,000 to be named as a co-host of the occasion at a secret location in Los Angeles on Friday. However his title now has been quietly dropped from the lineup after a girl filed a lawsuit on Thanksgiving Eve alleging that he raped her in New York in Could 2009. The fundraiser for the commander-in-chief’s re-election bid, dubbed An Night With President Joe Biden and Jill Biden, will even characteristic a efficiency by Lenny Kravitz and an look by former Home Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Pritzker’s particulars have been scrubbed from the official occasion web page, the place uber-rich Hollywood Biden backers can stump up $25,000 to attend the dinner and get an image with the president.” • Hmm.
Democrats en Déshabillé
Affected person readers, plainly persons are truly studying the back-dated put up! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are a lot of updates. So I should try this. –lambert
I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Social gathering (“the Democrat Social gathering is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated put up, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “dwell” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Social gathering is, in truth, a tough drawback. I do assume the paragraph that follows is on level all the best way again to 2016, if not earlier than:
The Democrat Social gathering is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Pay attention, Liberal!). It follows that the Democrat Social gathering is as “unreformable” because the PMC is unreformable; if the Democrat Social gathering didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. If the Democrat Social gathering fails to control, that’s as a result of the PMC lacks the aptitude to control. (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” in fact.) Second, all of the working elements of the Social gathering reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between components of the Social gathering (ka-ching, however not totally) these components comprise a community — a Flex Internet? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with property within the press and the intelligence group.
Be aware, in fact, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is restricted by different lessons; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.
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“Home censures Rep. Jamaal Bowman for pulling hearth alarm” [NBC]. “The Home voted Thursday to censure Rep. Jamaal Bowman, D-N.Y., for pulling a fireplace alarm in a congressional constructing whereas the chamber was in session in September to contemplate a vote to fund the federal government…. However Bowman maintained that his actions have been unintentional. ‘I wish to be very clear, this was not me, in any means, making an attempt to delay any vote. It was the precise reverse — I used to be making an attempt urgently to get to a vote, which I finally did and joined my colleagues in a bipartisan effort to maintain our authorities open,’ he mentioned in an announcement on the time. ‘I’m embarrassed to confess that I activated the hearth alarm, mistakenly pondering it might open the door,’ he added. ‘I remorse this and sincerely apologize for any confusion this brought about.’” • Bowman is being ridiculous. “The brilliant pink alarm is clearly marked with the phrase “FIRE’,” per DC code. If Bowman had been a beardo with a Accomplice flag, he would have been charged and convicted with interrupting an official continuing, and jailed, in all probability for a number of years.
Realignment and Legitimacy
“A deluge of violent messages: How a surge in threats to public officers might disrupt American democracy” [CNN]. Helpful chart:
That is ugly and dangerous, and the numbers are for prosecutions solely; apparently the variety of threats is an order of magnitude bigger. Nonetheless, absolutely the numbers are comparatively low. And Trump is the the primary recipient! That wasn’t on my Bingo card.
#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Basic Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the handle given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep protected on the market!
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Covid is Airborne
Pageant of Far-UVC:
“Far-UVC mild (222 nm) effectively and safely inactivates airborne human coronaviruses” [Nature]. From 2020, nonetheless germane. From the Summary: “A direct strategy to restrict airborne viral transmissions is to inactivate them inside a short while of their manufacturing. Germicidal ultraviolet mild, sometimes at 254 nm, is efficient on this context however, used straight, generally is a well being hazard to pores and skin and eyes. In contrast, far-UVC mild (207–222 nm) effectively kills pathogens probably with out hurt to uncovered human tissues. … As all human coronaviruses have related genomic sizes, far-UVC mild can be anticipated to point out related inactivation effectivity towards different human coronaviruses together with SARS-CoV-2. Based mostly on the beta-HCoV-OC43 outcomes, steady far-UVC publicity in occupied public places on the present regulatory publicity restrict (~3 mJ/cm2/hour) would end in ~90% viral inactivation in ~8 minutes, 95% in ~11 minutes, 99% in ~16 minutes and 99.9% inactivation in ~25 minutes. Thus whereas staying inside present regulatory dose limits, low-dose-rate far-UVC publicity can probably safely present a serious discount within the ambient degree of airborne coronaviruses in occupied public places.”
“Sort of ultraviolet mild only at killing coronavirus can be the most secure to make use of round individuals” [The Conversation]. From 2021, nonetheless germane: “Totally different wavelengths of UV mild work higher than others for inactivating viruses, and this is dependent upon how properly the wavelengths are absorbed by the virus’s DNA or RNA. When UV mild will get absorbed, the photons of sunshine switch their vitality to and harm the chemical bonds of the genetic materials. The virus is then unable to copy or trigger an an infection. Researchers have additionally proven the proteins that viruses use to connect to a number cell and provoke an infection – just like the spike proteins on a coronavirus – are additionally susceptible to UV mild. The dose of sunshine issues too. Mild can range in depth – vivid mild is extra intense, and there may be extra vitality in it than in dim mild. Being uncovered to a vivid mild for a short while can produce the identical UV dose as being uncovered to a dim mild for an extended interval. You have to know the correct dose that may kill coronavirus particles at every UV wavelength. Conventional UV programs use wavelengths at or round 254 nanometers. At these wavelengths the sunshine is harmful to human pores and skin and eyes, even at low doses. Daylight consists of UV mild close to these wavelengths; anybody who has ever gotten a foul sunburn is aware of simply how harmful UV mild could be. Nevertheless, current analysis has proven that at sure UV wavelengths – particularly under 230 nanometers – the high-energy photons are absorbed by the highest layers of lifeless pores and skin cells and don’t penetrate into the lively pores and skin layers the place harm can happen. Equally, the tear layer round eyes additionally blocks out these germicidal UV rays. Which means that at wavelengths of UV mild under 230 nanometers, individuals can transfer round extra freely whereas the air round them is being disinfected in actual time.”
“Ultraviolet mild and indoor air disinfection to combat pandemics: A expertise lengthy overdue—Half 2” [WSWS]. “On a number of current events, images of White Home COVID Response Coordinator Dr. Ashish Jha giving lectures with Far-UVC units within the background have circulated extensively on social media. Nevertheless, on the current White Home Indoor Air Summit held on October 11, 2022, neither Jha nor every other speaker delved into the expertise, apart from a short reference beneath the heading of ‘New Applied sciences.’ One should ask why, if Dr. Jha is dependent upon this expertise a lot, did he select to stay silent on it?” • As traditional, the elites don’t need us to know how they protec themselves.
Lambert right here: There are a variety of UV options operating round: There are some for public areas, like Higher Room UV. There are others for disinfecting surfaces, like cellphones, with UVC. (As a result of that is the stupidest timeline, I fear that UV will probably be handled as an alternative choice to air filtration; I image eating places, say, shopping for a UV bulb, sticking it in a socket, and calling it good. I even have a private crotchet in that I don’t like radiation.) My focus will probably be on whether or not I ought to add some form of Far-UVC (222 nm) answer to my private protocol as one other layer of safety, together with masks, nasal sprays, mouthwash, and so on. So I’m on the lookout for one thing moveable, to be used on transport (particularly airplanes) or in eating places/cafés, the place I have to demask. There are merchandise in the marketplace, however there are not any requirements; there’s no Underwriter’s Laboratory for Far-UVC.
“Intro to Far-UV” [Joey Fox, Medium]. “There are merchandise which have come out just like the Lily (2 W), X-One (3 W) and Cellular Defend (10 W) that are moveable and designed to be positioned near an individual and disinfect the air earlier than it’s inhaled…. [T]hese units should not primarily designed to disinfect the entire room. The objective is to solely disinfect the air near the occupant with a brief publicity time. I’m uncertain in regards to the irradiance values for the Cellular Defend, however I’ve performed exams on the Lily (additionally offered as Hexagon) and X-One. At 40 cm away, which is a typical distance between a desk and your nostril, the irradiance values could be between 10–50 μW/cm². Assuming a 90% inactivation dose of 200 μJ/cm², a SARS-Cov-2 virion would must be uncovered for 4–20 seconds. I believe you’ll inhale the virus inside 4 seconds of it coming involved with the far-UV mild, so I don’t assume there may be sufficient contact time to inactivate the virus successfully. If there are computational fluid dynamics fashions displaying a excessive charge of inactivation utilizing private far-UV units or if an experiment is carried out displaying these units are efficient, then they will thought of as one of many strategies to offer non-infectious air and safety from airborne illnesses.” • Inhalation is certainly 1-1.5 seconds. I might wish to see extra modeling on this. I’d additionally prefer to know if upping the wattage makes a distinction. Right here is one other strategy–
“Far-UV: An Early Adopter Lay Particular person’s Pespective” [Pandemic Enclave]. “So, distance (mixed with energy) issues a LOT when contemplating whether or not a given far-UV machine will work for a specific use case. Publicity at all times needs to be considered, however typically nearer is healthier: extra energy heading in the right direction kills viruses quicker…. At 50 cm (19.6″), 15 seconds or so [to neutralization] is rather a lot higher than 31.5, however nonetheless isn’t nice. Once you get down round 25 cm – half the gap, quadruple the ability, bear in mind? – issues begin trying higher. Keep in mind, that is the time to inactivate 90% of the pathogen/virus. So 4-ish seconds is rather a lot higher than 10.5…. Now, would I belief it to guard me at a restaurant? No. Would I apply it to a aircraft? Sure, as an additional layer of safety, or if I wanted to eat (bear in mind some individuals MUST eat at periodic intervals), it might present some safety by maintaining my face low towards the tray desk, particularly if I coordinated it with low(er) CO2 readings from a monitor.” • One thing to look at. Feedback from engineers welcome!
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“COVID-19 in Office Settings: Classes Realized for Occupational Medication within the UK” [Raymond Agius, La Medicina del Lavoro]. From the Summary: “n spite of fine prior analysis and statute, the mandatory sources to guard employees’ well being have been severely missing when the pandemic struck. Weak public well being steering, which didn’t recognise dominant airborne transmission, was utilized to workplaces, leaving employees and others unprotected, particularly in respect of Respiratory Protecting Tools (RPE). The Well being and Security Government (HSE) as regula-tor was missing, for instance, in not producing steering to guard HealthCare Employees (HCW ) who have been amongst essentially the most in danger. The UK COVID-19 Public Inquiry ought to handle shortcomings comparable to these, however suggestions have to be accompanied by sturdy means to make sure applicable implementation. These ought to vary from substantial measures to enhance indoor air high quality, to a everlasting pandemic administration group with ample re-sources. The implementing authority needs to be obliged to publish extra particular office steering than the general public well being authorities. Occupational Medication as a self-discipline must be higher ready, and therefore to claim its duty in the direction of excessive requirements of employees’ well being safety. Future analysis has to incorporate investigating the most effective technique of mitigation towards airborne an infection and the administration of post-acute covid sequelae.” • The UK COVID-19 Public Inquiry the place BoJo is presently disgracing himself.
“One thing Terrible”
Lambert right here: I’m getting the sensation that the “One thing Terrible” could be a sawtooth sample — variant after variant — that averages out to a completely excessive plateau. A number of exceptionally nasty sequelae, almost definitely deriving from immune dysregulation (says this layperson). To which we’d add mind harm, together with persona modifications therefrom.
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Case Knowledge
From BioBot wastewater knowledge, December 4:
Lambert right here: Biden’s doing nice. His Omicron spike is, in fact, incomparable, however now he’s overwhelmed Trump’s case depend for each January and September 2021. In 2023! Case counts shifting well upward (and tinfoil hat time: That is the, er, inflection level CDC was making an attempt to hide after they gave the contract to Verily and didn’t guarantee a seamless transition). Solely 19 superspreading days till Christmas!
Regional knowledge:
These near-vertical curves within the Midwest and the Northeast are regarding, though as ever with Biobot you need to look ahead to backward revisions.
Variants
From CDC, December 9:
Lambert right here: JN.1, proven on the NowCast for the primary time, developing quick on the skin, whereas BA.2.86 fades.
• “Replace on SARS-CoV-2 Variant JN.1 Being Tracked by CDC” [CDC]. ” The continued development of JN.1 means that it’s both extra transmissible or higher at evading our immune programs. At the moment, there isn’t any proof that JN.1 presents an elevated threat to public well being relative to different presently circulating variants.” Daring within the unique. However then: “The speedy development of JN.1 in contrast with different variants raises the query of whether or not this variant may drive an incremental enhance in infections.”
• “New COVID Variant JN.1 Might Disrupt Vacation Plans” [WebMD]. “Nobody planning vacation gatherings or journey needs to listen to this, however the rise of a brand new COVID-19 variant, JN.1, is regarding consultants, who say it could threaten these good occasions…. JN.1, an Omicron subvariant, was first detected within the U.S. in September and is termed “a notable descendent lineage” of Omicron subvariant BA.2.86 by the World Well being Group. When BA.2.86, also referred to as Pirola, was first recognized in August, it appeared very totally different from different variants, the CDC mentioned. That triggered considerations it could be extra infectious than earlier ones, even for individuals with immunity from vaccination and former infections. … Whereas some consultants say a peak resulting from JN.1 is anticipated within the weeks forward, [Eric] Topol mentioned it’s unimaginable to foretell precisely how JN.1 will play out. ‘It’s not going to be a repeat of November 2021,’ when Omicron surfaced, [Rajendram] Rajnarayanan predicted. Inside 4 weeks of the World Well being Group declaring Omicron as a virus of concern, it unfold all over the world.”
• “What to Know In regards to the New Covid Variants” [New York Times]. “One other variant that scientists began watching intently this fall is BA.2.86, nicknamed Pirola. … BA.2.86 didn’t take off like scientists initially feared, however identical to EG.5 developed to provide HV.1, JN.1 has lately emerged from BA.2.86 and is spreading rapidly. In keeping with preliminary analysis launched in November, JN.1 carries a mutation that provides it further immune-evading capabilities…. The preprint paper testing how the brand new vaccines carried out towards HV.1 additionally confirmed that they produced antibodies efficient towards JN.1, however not as many…. Greater than the danger conferred by any particular person variant, it’s the speedy charge of virus evolution that’s most regarding to Trevor Bedford, a professor within the vaccine and infectious illness division on the Fred Hutchinson Most cancers Heart. ‘No single variant has been that impactful,’ he mentioned, ‘however the total accumulation of those mutations is having important impression.’” • Effectively, that’s what “Let ‘er rip” does…
From CDC, November25:
Lambert right here: I certain hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart relies upon, don’t all transfer on the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their entry to services minimize by directors of ailing intent).
CDC: “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance knowledge will probably be reported biweekly, primarily based on the supply of optimistic take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Appears like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
Covid Emergency Room Visits
NOT UPDATED From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, December 2:
Lambert right here: Slight will increase in some age teams, conforming to wastewater knowledge. Solely per week’s lag, so this can be our greatest present nationwide, present indicator.
NOTE “Charts and knowledge offered by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous 12 months, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not the whole pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “identical to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is acceptable for bothMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these individuals a lot. Discover additionally that this chart exhibits, not less than for its time interval, that Covid shouldn’t be seasonal, regardless that CDC is making an attempt to get us to imagine that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the present institutional equipment for injections. And naturally, we’re not even moving into the standard of the wastewater websites that we now have as a proxy for Covid an infection total.
Hospitalization
Bellwether New York Metropolis, knowledge as of December 8:
Steadily up. New York state as a complete seems extra like a spike. (I hate this metric as a result of the lag makes it misleading, though the hospital-centric public well being institution loves it, hospitalization and deaths being the one metrics that matter [snort]).
NOT UPDATED Right here’s a distinct CDC visualization on hospitalization, nationwide, not by state, however with a date, not less than. November 25:
Up….
Lambert right here: “Maps, charts, and knowledge offered by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Check Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”. So the place the heck is the replace, CDC?
Positivity
NOT UPDATED From Walgreens, December 4:
0.2%. Up. (It will be attention-grabbing to survey this inhabitants usually; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and large peer strain, went and received examined anyhow.)
NOT UPDATED From Cleveland Clinic, December 2:
Lambert right here: Enhance (with backward revision; guess they thought it was over). I do know that is simply Ohio, however the Cleveland Clinic is sweet*, and we’re starved for knowledge, so…. NOTE * Even when hospital an infection management is making an attempt to kill sufferers by eliminating common masking with N95s.
NOT UPDATED From CDC, traveler’s knowledge, November 13:
Down, albeit within the rear view mirror. And listed below are the variants for vacationers, November 6:
BA.2.86 20% of the the full final week, 25% of the full this week.
Deaths
Complete: 1,184,559 – 1,184,345 = 214 (214 * 365 = 78,110 deaths per 12 months, at this time’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “dwelling with” Covid (fairly a bit greater than the minimizers would really like, although they will discuss themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I may should determine that is what the powers-that-be take into account “mission completed” for this specific tranche of demise and illness).
Lambert right here: This quantity is just too small it doesn’t matter what. Iowa Covid19 Tracker hasn’t been up to date since September 27, 2023. I could should revert to CDC knowledge. Yech.
Stats Watch
Employment Scenario: “United States Unemployment Fee” [Trading Economics]. “The unemployment charge in america fell to three.7% in November of 2023 from 3.9% within the earlier month, the bottom since July, and firmly beneath market expectations that it might stay unchanged at 3.9%. The end result marked a slight backtrack from the close to two-year excessive recorded in October, pushing again towards current traits of a slowing labor market in america. ”
• “US Labor Market Defies Slowdown Forecasts in Broad Strengthening” [Bloomberg]. “The stable labor-market figures shift focus to inflation numbers as Fed officers gauge how lengthy to take care of rates of interest at this cycle’s peak. An additional cooling of value positive aspects would doubtless assist push the central financial institution towards charge cuts so long as the job market averts a extra sustained re-acceleration.”
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The Bezzle: “AI-Powered Drive-Through Is Truly Run Virtually Fully By People” [Bloomberg]. “Presto Automation Inc. pitched a restaurant trade determined to fight rising wages on a speaking chatbot that would take orders with nearly no human intervention. The agency touted OpenAI’s Sam Altman as an early investor. And it has used the agency’s expertise to enhance its system because it goals to triple deployments to 1,200 places subsequent 12 months. However disclosures in current filings with the US Securities and Alternate Fee and modifications to advertising and marketing counsel that the expertise is much less autonomous than it first appeared. The corporate, which went public final 12 months, now says ‘off-site brokers’ working in locales such because the Philippines assist throughout greater than 70% of buyer interactions to ensure its AI system doesn’t mess up.” • Lol, identical to the robotic vehicles and every thing else. Anyone studying this, I make you a free reward of the premise for a science fiction brief story: An AI does certainly take over the world, simply because the doomsters feared, however because it seems, the AI is basically only a warehouse-full of wage slaves within the Phillipines. NOTE * William Gibson’s Company, already shockingly dangerous, seems even worse now.
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As we speak’s Worry & Greed Index: 67 Greed (earlier shut: 64 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 67 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Dec 8 at 1:47:17 PM ET.
Class Warfare
“The 25 Richest Households within the World — 2023” [Bloomberg]. The deck: “From the home of Hermès to Gulf royals, the wealth of world dynasties soared 43% within the final 12 months.” Names are: AL NAHYAN (UAE), WALTON (USA), HERMÈS (FRANCE), MARS (USA), AL THANI (QATAR), KOCH (USA), AL SAUD (SAUDI ARABIA), AMBANI (INDIA), WERTHEIMER (FRANCE), THOMSON (CANADA), CARGILL, MACMILLAN (USA), JOHNSON (USA), BOEHRINGER, VON BAUMBACH (GERMANY), QUANDT (GERMANY), ALBRECHT (GERMANY), PRITZKER (USA), HOFFMANN, OERI (SWITZERLAND), VAN DAMME, DE SPOELBERCH, DE MEVIUS (BELGIUM), HARTONO (INDONESIA), DASSAULT (FRANCE), COX (USA), MULLIEZ (FRANCE), FERRERO (ITALY), KWOK (HONG KONG), and DUNCAN (USA). • Value scanning. 8/25 = 32% within the US.
“Archaeologists unearth ‘most stunning instance of Roman slavery’ at Pompeii” [Guardian]. “The cramped bakery with small home windows barred with iron was a part of a house that emerged throughout excavations within the Regio IX space of the Pompeii archaeological park in southern Italy. The invention supplies extra proof on the every day lifetime of Pompeii’s enslaved individuals, usually forgotten about by historic sources however who made up a lot of the inhabitants and whose onerous labour propped up the town’s economic system in addition to the tradition and material of Roman civilisation…. Markings used to coordinate the motion of enslaved employees and blind-folded animals have been discovered on the bakery’s ground. The house was divided right into a residential half adorned with lavish frescoes, and the bakery, the place enslaved individuals have been pressured to grind the grain wanted to provide bread. The bakery was minimize off from the skin world, with the one exit resulting in the principle corridor of the home. ‘It’s, in different phrases, an area during which we now have to think about the presence of individuals of servile standing whose freedom of motion the proprietor felt the necessity to prohibit,’ mentioned Gabriel Zuchtriegel, the director of Pompeii archaeological park. ‘It’s the most stunning aspect of historical slavery, the one devoid of each trusting relationships and guarantees of manumission, the place we have been lowered to brute violence, an impression that’s totally confirmed by the securing of the few home windows with iron bars.’”
Information of the Wired
“The Proper Chemistry: Reflections on the manufacture of mirrors” [Montreal Gazette]. Fairly a lead: “The Corridor of Mirrors within the Palace of Versailles is magnificent. Commissioned by Louis XIV, the Solar King, it was designed to pay tribute to his political, financial and inventive successes with work, sculptures and naturally, the well-known 357 mirrors. Louis had stipulated that every thing within the corridor have to be made by French artisans, which offered a problem when it got here to the mirrors. On the time, the Venetian island of Murano had a monopoly on mirror-making and the secrets and techniques of manufacture have been so tightly guarded that any glassmaker who was suspected of exposing them was disbursed with by employed assassins. Because of this, Venetian mirrors have been actually value their weight in gold.” • And talking of chemistry–
“Microbiota from Alzheimer’s sufferers induce deficits in cognition and hippocampal neurogenesis” [Brain]. From the Summary: “To grasp the involvement of Alzheimer’s affected person intestine microbiota in host physiology and behavior, we transplanted faecal microbiota from Alzheimer’s sufferers and age-matched wholesome controls into microbiota-depleted younger grownup rats…. Our findings reveal for the primary time, that Alzheimer’s signs could be transferred to a wholesome younger organism by way of the intestine microbiota, confirming a causal position of intestine microbiota in Alzheimer’s illness, and spotlight hippocampal neurogenesis as a converging central mobile course of regulating systemic circulatory and gut-mediated elements in Alzheimer’s.” • Escape the Probiotic Yogurt?!
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Contact data for crops: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a verify in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me pictures of crops. Greens are fantastic! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you need your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it at the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From TH:
TH writes: “That is an exterior photograph taken at Hollyhock Home, a home in East Hollywood that’s one designed by Frank Lloyd Wright. As everybody in all probability is aware of, he was well-known for integrating interiors with exteriors and visa-versa. So, right here he’s received a forged concrete planter atop a wall that surrounds a courtyard on the south aspect of the home. The ornamentation is claimed to have been meant to evoke Mayan motifs. My first thought was Aztec, however I’ll go together with Mayan 😊.”
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