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The Morning Digest is compiled by David Nir, Jeff Singer, and Stephen Wolf, with extra contributions from the Every day Kos Elections staff.
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● OR-06: Republican Mike Erickson on Wednesday introduced his long-anticipated marketing campaign to avenge his slender 2022 loss to freshman Democratic Rep. Andrea Salinas, however he isn’t prepared to maneuver on from final cycle’s battle.
Erickson continues to be suing Salinas for defamation over a industrial she ran highlighting his 2016 arrest and conviction for drunk driving. That spot declared that the Republican was “charged with unlawful drug possession for unlawful oxycodone,” an announcement his staff vigorously disputes. Salinas’ facet, although, has defended that industrial, and it is attempting to get Erickson’s swimsuit dismissed.
Jeff Singer has extra on the unfolding rematch―in addition to a unique scandal from Erickson’s previous that resurfaced final cycle.
The Downballot
● EMILY’s Record has been dedicated to electing pro-choice Democratic ladies for 40 years, a mission that is grown solely extra essential for the reason that fall of Roe. Becoming a member of us on this week’s episode of “The Downballot” is Christina Reynolds, one in all EMILY’s prime officers, to inform us about how her group recruits, helps, and advises ladies candidates in any respect ranges of the poll nationwide. Reynolds explains the distinctive challenges ladies face, from a scarcity of fundraising networks to judgments about their {qualifications} that by no means appear to stay to males. She tells us how Dobbs has—and hasn’t—modified campaigning for EMILY’s endorsees and spotlights a variety of key races the group is concerned on this 12 months.
Co-hosts David Nir and David Beard additionally focus on the rollout of the DCCC’s first “Pink to Blue” checklist this 12 months, highlighting essentially the most promising Democratic pickup alternatives within the Home. Whereas the D-Journey is targeted on common elections, the Davids clarify why the committee has no selection however to get entangled in a California major due to the state’s verkakte election guidelines. And at last, they tear into the Tennessee GOP for a ridiculous set of rule modifications designed solely to guard a scandal-plagued incumbent—modifications that can in all probability chew them within the ass earlier than lengthy.
Subscribe to “The Downballot” on Apple Podcasts to be sure to by no means miss a present. You will discover a transcript of this week’s episode proper right here by midday Japanese time. New episodes each Thursday morning!
Senate
● MD-Sen: Rep. David Trone has launched an inner ballot from Hickman Analytics that exhibits him beating Prince George’s County Government Angela Alsobrooks 45-34 within the Could 14 Democratic major, which is bigger than the 41-34 edge Hickman gave him in late November. We have seen no different polls carried out right here over the past two months.
Trone, who is sort of completely self-funding his effort, started airing advertisements all the best way again in Could, and Inside Elections’ Jacob Rubashkin says that he deployed $7 million alone since his earlier ballot was completed. In contrast, Alsobrooks and her allies have not launched any critical advert campaigns with three-and-a-half months nonetheless to go earlier than the first.
Governors
● NC-Gov: Fundraising numbers are in protecting the second half of 2023, and so they present that Democratic Legal professional Basic Josh Stein went into the brand new 12 months with an enormous monetary edge over the opposite candidates:
Legal professional Basic Josh Stein (D): $5.7 million raised, $11.5 million money available
Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson (R): $3.4 million raised, $4.3 million money available
State Treasurer Dale Folwell (R): $112,000 raised, $1.3 million money available
Former state Supreme Court docket Justice Mike Morgan (D): $119,000 raised, $32,000 money available
Businessman Invoice Graham (R): $100,000 raised, extra $2.8 million self-funded, $162,000 money available
Graham stated in October that he’d self-fund “at the least $5 million.” Folwell beforehand loaned his marketing campaign $1 million in June, however he did not do any extra critical self-funding throughout the remainder of the 12 months.
Home
● AZ-01: State Rep. Amish Shah introduced Wednesday that he would resign from the legislature the next day to focus on his marketing campaign to tackle Republican Rep. David Schweikert. Shah is one in all a number of candidates competing within the Aug. 6 Democratic major for this aggressive seat within the Phoenix space.
● CA-47: EMILY’s Record has launched a $1 million advert marketing campaign in help of lawyer Joanna Weiss, which makes this the primary main impartial expenditure from any group forward of the March 5 top-two major. The group’s first spot touts Weiss as an ardent supporter of abortion rights and doesn’t point out the opposite important Democrat within the race, state Sen. Dave Min.
● MO-03: Former Boone County Clerk Taylor Burks confirmed to KWOS this week that he is focused on working to succeed his fellow Republican, retiring Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer. Burks competed in final cycle’s major for the neighboring 4th District, ending in fourth place with 10% of the vote.
● ND-AL: Public Service Commissioner Julie Fedorchak tells InForum.com that she hasn’t dominated out working for the statewide seat that her fellow Republican, Rep. Kelly Armstrong, is giving as much as run for governor. Fedorchak introduced earlier within the week that she wouldn’t oppose Armstrong within the contest to switch retiring Gov. Doug Burgum.
● NY-03: The conservative Congressional Management Fund, reviews Politico, has booked one other $2.6 million on TV and digital advertisements with lower than two weeks to go earlier than the Feb. 13 particular election.
AdImpact reviews that Democrat Tom Suozzi and his allies preserve a $9.6 million to $5.7 million benefit over Republican Mazi Pilip’s facet in whole advert spending and reservations. When AdImpact appears to be like solely on the portion of this $15.3 million that is booked for future advert buys, although, Democrats take pleasure in a smaller $2.8 million to $2.44 million edge.
● SC-01: Charleston County Council member Jenny Honeycutt responded to questions from the Put up and Courier a couple of potential major bid in opposition to GOP Rep. Nancy Mace by saying, “I’ve no intention of submitting for this seat this election cycle.”
Legislatures
● MI State Home: Main voters on Tuesday chosen the nominees for a pair of April 16 particular elections within the Detroit suburbs that Democrats have to win to as soon as once more maintain an outright majority within the Michigan state Home. The contests are being held to succeed a pair of Democrats who resigned to turn into mayor of their respective communities, Kevin Coleman of Westland and Lori Stone of Warren.
Westland Metropolis Councilman Peter Herzberg, who’s Coleman’s cousin and most well-liked successor, pulled off a 36-30 victory within the Democratic major in opposition to colleague Andrea Rutkowski, who had Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s endorsement. One other 22% went to Layla Taha, a marketing campaign employee who was backed by Rep. Rashida Tlaib. Herzberg will now tackle Republican businessman Josh Powell, who confronted no intra-party opposition. Joe Biden carried the twenty fifth District 59-40 in 2020.
Macomb County Commissioner Mai Xiong, who had Whitmer’s help, in the meantime received the Democratic nomination for the thirteenth District in a 79-15 landslide in opposition to former state Rep. Lamar Lemmons. Xiong will tackle Republican Ronald Singer, a perennial candidate who beat his nearest major opponent 63-21, in a constituency that Biden received 64-35. Singer challenged Stone in 2022 and misplaced 67-33.
The 110-member state Home is at the moment tied 54-54. Democrat Joe Tate stays speaker, however the Detroit Information says that the deadlocked chamber “has largely been at a standstill for the reason that first of the 12 months.”
● PA State Home, PA State Auditor: The Philadelphia Inquirer reviews that Democratic state Rep. Mark Rozzi, who spent a brief however important two-month interval as speaker final 12 months, “quietly ended his auditor common marketing campaign in December” however will nonetheless retire from the state Home this cycle. Rozzi, who instructed the paper that he was receiving therapy for despair, stated he would serve out the remainder of his time period: He has endorsed his ex-wife, Jacklyn Rusnock, to succeed him within the chamber.
Rozzi on Wednesday additionally backed fellow state Rep. Malcolm Kenyatta over Lehigh County Controller Mark Pinsley within the April 23 Democratic major for auditor. The winner will tackle Republican incumbent Timothy DeFoor.
● TX State Home: Donald Trump on Tuesday endorsed former Orange County Republican Occasion chair David Covey’s major bid in opposition to state Home Speaker Dade Phelan, a improvement that comes as totally different factions of the Texas GOP battle for dominance within the March 5 legislative primaries. Yow will discover out rather more concerning the costly contests forward for Republicans within the Texas Tribune’s new piece.
Mayors & County Leaders
● San Francisco, CA Mayor: Daniel Lurie, who’s the founding father of an anti-poverty nonprofit and a Levi Strauss inheritor, has launched an inner ballot from David Binder Analysis arguing that he is well-positioned to beat Mayor London Breed within the Nov. 5 instant-runoff contest.
The survey exhibits Breed main Lurie 26-21 when respondents are requested about their first selection, with former interim Mayor Mark Farrell and present Supervisor Ahsha Safaí respectively taking 15% and 10%. (Farrell has not but introduced if he’ll run.) The survey goes on to point out Lurie defeating Breed 46-28 in a hypothetical head-to-head state of affairs.
Prosecutors & Sheriffs
● Harris County, TX District Legal professional: Former prosecutor Sean Teare this week earned an endorsement from former Houston Mayor Sylvester Turner, who left workplace firstly of the 12 months, within the March 5 Democratic major in opposition to District Legal professional Kim Ogg.
● San Francisco, CA District Legal professional: District Legal professional Brooke Jenkins drew her first notable opponent on Friday, and it is somebody she fired shortly after assuming workplace in 2022. Ryan Khojasteh was one in all 15 folks whom she dismissed after she was appointed to switch Chesa Boudin, who was ousted in a recall marketing campaign that Jenkins performed a significant function in.
Khojasteh instructed the San Francisco Chronicle that he believes he was fired partly as a result of he revealed an article within the SF Gate imploring Boudin’s successor to keep up his legal justice reforms, a bit that ran shortly earlier than Mayor London Breed introduced she was appointing Jenkins to be the brand new district lawyer. Khojasteh later turned a prosecutor in Alameda County on the opposite facet of the Bay Bridge.
Khojasteh’s solely prior run for workplace seems to have been in 2018 when, as a regulation pupil, he waged a quixotic marketing campaign in opposition to soon-to-be-Speaker Nancy Pelosi; Khojasteh finally earned 5% of the vote within the top-two major. The formally nonpartisan race for district lawyer will happen on Nov. 5 utilizing instant-runoff guidelines.
Obituaries
● Jean Carnahan: Missouri Democrat Jean Carnahan, who turned the primary girl to symbolize the state within the Senate following her husband’s posthumous 2000 victory, died Tuesday on the age of 90.
Carnahan was serving as first woman when Gov. Mel Carnahan died in a airplane crash three weeks forward of his common election contest with Republican Sen. John Ashcroft. The state’s new governor, Democrat Roger Wilson, vowed to nominate Jean Carnahan if voters chosen the Democratic nominee, and that is simply what occurred. The brand new senator, nevertheless, quickly needed to put together for a troublesome, and finally unsuccessful, 2002 particular election in opposition to former GOP Rep. Jim Expertise.
The Related Press has rather more on Carnahan’s profession in public life in its obituary.
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